WestRock Vs. International Paper


Westrock vs ip

A lot of companies affect us tremendously and we may have never even heard of the companies. Two such companies are WestRock and International Paper. While you may have never heard of either company I am positive that you have dealt with their products. That is because they make products that we deal with in our everyday lives. They produce a wide range of products including packaging boxes, product displays, pizza boxes, beer boxes and many more.

While they aren’t a fancy new tech company, I would consider them good companies that operate in a boring industry that would be a great addition in any dividend growth investors portfolio.

So I want to take a few minutes and look at some key metrics for both businesses and see which one would make a better investment.

WestRock – (WRK)


Market Cap: $8.85B
Dividend: $1.82
Dividend Yield: 5.25%
PE Ratio: 11.94
Price: $34.65

  • WestRock has been an acquisition machine since forming in 2015. Most recently they completed the acquisition of Kapstone in late 2018. Not only with this increase their earnings but it will also allow them to grow their presence in the western United States. It will also allow the company to increase their margins despite the difficulty the face with the pricing of wood pulp.
  • The company’s shares are trading at .81 times book value. That means that the company would have to rise 23% just to be fairly valued.
  • Since inception they have increased their customers who purchase at least $1M by 50%.
  • WestRock is not a recession proof business because we know that during a recession certain segments of their business like packaging will be hurt but through cost cutting efforts they should easily be able to withstand a recession.
  • Since inception WestRock has maintained an average PE ratio of 16.8 but is currently sporting a 9.1 PE ratio.
  • Given how beaten down the share price is WestRock looks very attractive from a value and income perspective.


    WRK Chart


    International Paper – (IP)


    Market Cap: $16.93B
    Dividend: $2.00
    Dividend Yield: 4.69%
    PE Ratio: 10.19
    Price: $42.66

  • International Paper announced in late May that they would be exiting their 75% controlling stake in India based paper company IP APPM Limited. The financial terms were not announced.
  • The company generated $5.6B in Q1 which was pretty much in line with the previous year but they increased their net income by 18% in the same time span.
  • Given the strong performance the company is confident that it will generate $2B in Free Cash Flow during 2019.
  • International Paper has a list of goals that they refer to as Vision 2020. These goals are based on the following themes: recycling, safety, community engagement, energy efficiency, water stewardship, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, air emissions, supply chain, fiber efficiency, water quality, and solid waste. They’re some very admiral goals on the list. The great thing about this is that quite a few of these goals have already been achieved as of 2018.

  • IP chart


    Container & Packaging Industry

    All companies that operate in the container and packaging industry have felt the effects of the pricing of wood pulp for most of 2019, as this graph will show.


    wood pulp price june 2019

    There is a direct correlation between high inventories and the lower pricing of the wood pulp itself. This is a factor that none of the companies operating in this industry can control but it is a factor that they all must deal with. As recently as June 24th, analysts like Goldman Sachs have downgraded stocks within the industry because of this factor.

    Dividend Growth & Payout Ratio

    Neither company has a long history of growing their dividend but both companies have very low payout ratios. In theory a company with a low payout ratio should have no problem not only sustaining their dividend but being able to increase it over time.


    WRK dividend growth
    IP dividend growth

    I do think that it is worth noting here that WestRock has only officially been a company since 2015. So they have actually increased their dividend since inception and have grown their dividend by a total of 21% but unfortunately that was just 3 years ago. International Paper on the other hand paid a steady dividend through out the 90’s and into the 2000’s but when the financial crisis happened in 2008 they cut their dividend the following year. Since then they have began the practise of increasing their dividend every year but their streak has only been running for 7 consecutive years.

    Despite the fact that International Paper has been growing their dividend longer I tend to favor WestRock here. In just a couple of short years, I could see WestRock growing their dividend larger than International Paper. Recent acquisitions may hinder that in the short term but one the synergies really set in they will be generating more on the bottom line and can sustain growing their dividend larger.

    Earnings Per Share

    WestRock currently has an EPS of $2.90 with an estimated EPS of $4.03 for next year while currently having 255.50M shares outstanding.

    International Paper currently has an EPS of $4.19 with an estimated EPS of $4.98 for next year while currently having 396.97M shares outstanding.

    Looking at these figures I actually like the WestRock EPS better than I do the International Paper. Plus they stand to grow their EPS more than International Paper which will only help the company return capital to their shareholders.

    Conclusion

    Both companies stand to gain in the growing trend of ecommerce sales because most of those sales all will have to be shipped in a corrugated package. Plus as the growing population moves away from plastic products they will look more toward paper alternatives.

    I honestly think at these prices you could buy stock in either company and do very well over the long term. Given the EPS, dividend and current valuation though I think that WestRock would be a better purchase at the moment. Despite carrying a heavy load of debt, I think that they are really setting themselves up for a very bright future with a lot of growth ahead of them.

    Do you currently own stock in either company?

    Which company do you think is the better purchase at these prices?

    Just let me know in the comments below!

    As always I look forward to reading all of your comments and questions, until then….. happy investing!

    -Jason from MoreDividends.com



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